Category Archives: Peritus

Floating Rate Loans: Inflows, Issuance, and Income

The floating rate bank loan market has been a popular area for investment post the election.  We have seen inflows into the space in 37 of the last 38 weeks, with $30bn coming into the retail loan funds (mutual funds …

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Return, Risk, and Diversification

When assessing a portfolio and determining their asset class mix, investors often allocate large portion to equities as this is believed to have a much better longer-term investment return profile than fixed income securities (bonds, loans), while fixed income is …

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Is Retail the Next Energy?

With weak same store sales and countless store closures announced over the first quarter, retail has been in the spotlight as an area of mounting weakness.  So far this year we have seen bankruptcies from Payless Shoes, H.H.Gregg, Eastern Outfitters, …

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A Look at Valuations: Corporate Bonds and Equities

We often look at valuations in the high yield market by analyzing the spread over a risk free rate, which is generally a comparable maturity Treasury bond.  Here’s a look at where we have been historically versus where we are …

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Spreads, Oil, and Finding Value in the High Yield Bond Market

We have seen a huge rally in high yield over the last year.  As the high yield market was positioned a year ago, oil was just bouncing of its lows in the $20s, contagion from the energy sector (given energy …

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Our Active Strategy in High Yield Debt

As we wrote earlier this year in our piece “Pricing Risk and Playing Defense,” we are not believers in a significantly higher interest rate environment.  The global economy is simply too weak to tolerate higher rates.  The Fed will raise …

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High Yield in a Rising Rate Environment

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Pricing Risk: The Three U’s

Every investment opportunity set (asset classes and individual securities) has risk.  The key is to identify the risk and “price” it correctly.  For us, assessing and pricing risk involves analyzing credit spreads in light of their expected default rates.  This …

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Debt + Demographics = No Demand

The consensus is that rates will be going up, but the consensus has been wrong about rates time and again over the past several years—none of us know the future.  What we do know is that the two monsters of …

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Demand and Rates

With Trump’s election, it is now seems to be “consensus” that the Federal Reserve is going to raise rates another three times in 2017.  We question this assumption.  In fact, we may have already seen the highs on the 10-year …

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