We have recently posted a new commentary, “High Yield versus Equities: A Practical View” on the Other Writings and Publications portion of our website. We have summarized our conclusions below but encourage you to click here and read the full commentary.
We believe it is time that investors and investment advisors wake up to the new realities of the world. The notion of equities magically compounding money at double digit rates should have been put to death over the past decade where the S&P 500 has effectively returned nothing. Amazingly hope springs eternal, as both pension accounting and many investment boards and consultants continue to spew the dribble that the next decade will be terrific for equity investors. We see limited growth for equities for the foreseeable future, and most other fixed income alternatives are currently offering very little in the way of yield. Yet the high yield bond market has not only proven to outperform equities (see document for data), but offers a much better yield than both equities and various other fixed income asset classes. We anticipate that investors have a limited window to allocate significant resources to the high yield market and lock in what we see as very attractive yields. We believe that this window will ultimately close as more people recognize the opportunity, which will reduce the yields available.